Working paper

I serien Working paper publiceras Konjunkturinstitutets resultat från forskning och metodutveckling inom exempelvis arbetsmarknad, produktivitet och finanspolitik. I den miljöekonomiska forskningen ingår samhällsekonomiska analyser som bidrar som beslutsunderlag till svensk miljöpolitik.

  • Working Paper No. 147 | 2016-11-23

    Short Run Effects of Fiscal Policy on GDP and Employment: Swedish Evidence


    Since the financial crisis, there has been a surge in theoretical and empirical studies on the macroeconomic effects of fiscal policy. Moreover, the protracted state of low demand since 2008 together with constrained monetary policy have put emphasis on non-linear effects of fiscal policy.In this paper, we use a newly published quarterly Swedish data set on fiscal variables and estimate the effects on GDP and employment for the period 1980q1–2015q3.
  • Working Paper No. 146 | 2016-10-12

    Forecasting Goods and Services Inflation in Sweden


    In this paper, we make use of a Bayesian VAR (BVAR) model to conduct an out-of-sample forecast exercise for goods and services inflation in Sweden.
  • Working Paper No. 145 | 2016-10-03

    Do Inflation Expectations Granger Cause Inflation?


    In this paper, we investigate whether survey measures of inflation expectations in Sweden Granger cause Swedish CPI-inflation. This is done by studying the precision of out-of-sample forecasts from Bayesian VAR models using a sample of quarterly data from 1996 to 2016.
  • Working Paper No. 144 | 2016-06-08

    Forecasting Employment Growth in Sweden Using Bayesian VAR Models


    In this paper, Bayesian VAR models are used to forecast employment growth in Sweden. Using quarterly data from 1996 to 2015, we conduct an out-of-sample forecast exercise.
  • Working Paper No. 143 | 2016-04-26

    Quasi-Real-Time Data of the Economic Tendency Survey


    Survey data from businesses and households are widely used for forecasting and economic analysis. In Sweden, the most important survey of this kind is the Economic Tendency Survey of the National Institute of Economic Research. A shortcoming with this survey is that real-time data of it largely are unavailable.In this paper, we describe how two quasi-real-time data sets of this survey have been constructed and made publicly available – one monthly and one quarterly.
  • Working Paper No. 142 | 2016-03-01

    The Rise in Life Expectancy, Health Trends among the Elderly, and the Demand for Health and Social Care


    The objective of this report is to review the evidence on (a) ageing and health and (b) the demand for health and social care among the elderly. The issues discussed are: does health status of the elderly improve over time, and how do the trends in health status of the elderly affect the demand for health and social care? The review is based on some 100 published scientific papers. While it is not a complete review, it covers most recent empirical studies of health trends and the changing pattern of demand for health and social care.
  • Working Paper No. 141 | 2015-12-14

    IOR – NIER's Input-Output Model of the Swedish Economy


    The present paper introduces a new version of an input-output model of the Swedish economy (IOR). The model is used at NIER for short term forecasts of imports and sectoral production. It is also used for structural analysis of the Swedish economy. 
  • Working Paper No. 139 | 2015-09-01

    Do Swedish Consumer Confidence Indicators Do What They Are Intended to Do?


    I studien undersöks om de två huvudsakliga konsumentförtroende­indikatorerna i Sverige — Konjunkturinstitutets och Europeiska kommissionens — kan prognostisera utvecklingen i hushållens konsumtionsutgifter för innevarande kvartal.
  • Working Paper No. 138 | 2015-03-17

    Macroeconomic Effects of a Decline in Housing Prices in Sweden


    Ett 20-procentigt bostadsprisfall skulle ha en recessionsliknande effekt på arbetslöshet och hushållens konsumtion. Det visar en kvantitativ bedömning av makroekonomiska effekter vid ett betydande prisfall.
  • Working Paper No. 137 | 2015-03-05

    Appropriate Macroeconomic Model Support for the Ministry of Finance and the National Institute of Economic Research: A Pilot Study


    I rapporten analyseras makroekonomiska modellval vid ett antal internationella institutioner. Syftet är att utvärdera lämpliga modellalternativ för Finansdepartementet och Konjunkturinstitutet.
  • Working Paper No. 136 | 2015-02-04

    A Statistical Analysis of Revisions of Swedish National Accounts Data


    I rapporten analyseras historiska revideringar av svenska nationalräkenskapsdata utifrån tre aspekter: volatilitet, väntevärdesriktighet och prognoseffektivitet. Resultaten visar på problematiska aspekter av revideringarnas egenskaper — mer för produktionssidan än för BNP och användningssidan.
  • Working Paper No. 135 | 2014-10-17

    Effects of US Policy Uncertainty on Swedish GDP Growth


    Ökad amerikansk politisk osäkerhet har signifikant negativ effekt på svensk BNP-tillväxt. Studien visar att förändringar i politisk osäkerhet i synnerhet verkar hålla tillbaka investerings- och exporttillväxt.
  • Working Paper No. 134 | 2014-03-25

    The Euro Crisis and Swedish GDP Growth— A Study of Spillovers


    I denna studie används en bayesiansk VAR-modell för att studera effekterna av störningar i euroområdet på den svenska ekonomin.
  • Working Paper No. 133 | 2013-12-20

    Challenges in Soft-Linking: The Case of EMEC and TIMES-Sweden


    I studien utvecklas en metod för hur en allmänjämviktsmodell (CGE-modell) och en energisystemmodell kan länkas samman via en så kallad mjuk länk.
  • Working Paper No. 132 | 2013-11-26

    Exchange Rates, Wages, and Export Price Dynamics


    I rapporten analyseras effekter av chocker i växelkurs, kostnader och utländska priser på exportpriser (i exportörers valuta). Den teoretiska
    analysen inkluderar olika antaganden beträffande valutan i vilken exportpriser sätts samt företagens pålägg på marginalkostnad.

  • Working Paper No. 131 | 2013-11-19

    Forecasting Business Investment in the Short Term Using Survey Data


    I studien utvärderas prognosmodeller för tillväxten i näringslivets investeringar i Sverige. Modellerna baseras på data från Konjunkturbarometern som är Sveriges viktigaste enkätundersökning som genomförs i syfte att underlätta konjunkturanalys.
  • Working Paper No. 130 | 2013-09-13

    Survey Data and Short-Term Forecasts of Swedish GDP Growth


    I studien utvärderas prognosmodeller för svensk BNP-tillväxt som utnyttjar data från Konjunkturbarometern. Resultaten från en prognosövning baserad på nio års realtidsdata ger vid handen att data från Konjunkturbarometern kan användas för att förbättra prognoser.
  • Working Paper No. 129 | 2013-09-10

    On the Usefulness of Constant Gain Least Squares when Forecasting the Unemployment Rate


    I denna studie jämförs prognosförmågan hos univariata autoregressiva modeller skattade med två olika metoder: ordinary least squares (OLS) och constant gain least squares (CGLS). Vi utvärderar modellprognoser för arbetslöshetsgraden i Australien, Storbritannien, Sverige och USA.
  • Working Paper No. 128 | 2013-01-22

    Central Bank Forecasts of Policy Interest Rates: An Evaluation of the First Years


    På senare år har centralbankerna i Norge och Sverige publicerat sina endogena styrränteprognoser. I denna studie utvärderar vi dessa prognoser tillsammans med styrränteförväntningar beräknade utifrån marknadsprissättningen.
  • Working Paper No. 127 | 2012-11-30

    Policy Interest-Rate Expectations in Sweden: A Forecast Evaluation


    I denna studie utvärderas två typer av reporänteförväntningar: enkätförväntningar och förväntningar baserade på marknadsprissättning.

  • Working Paper no. 126 | 2012-02-13

    Forecasting Inflation Using Constant Gain Least Squares


    I denna studie jämförs prognosförmågan hos univariata autoregressiva modeller skattade med två olika metoder: ordinary least squares (OLS) och constant gain least squares (CGLS).
  • Working Paper No. 124 | 2011-09-19

    Scenarios and Sustainability


    Att anpassa kommuner till ett förändrat klimat är en utmaning för planerare och beslutsfattare eftersom det innebär både stora osäkerheter och långa tidsperspektiv. I ett försök att hantera dessa utmaningar har två verktyg testats i en fallstudie av en dricksvattentäkt i Botkyrka kommun.

Alla utgåvor i nummerordning

Enkel lista:

No Author(s) Title Year
147 Göran Hjelm, Pär Stockhammar Short Run Effects of Fiscal Policy on GDP and Employment: Swedish Evidence 2016
146 Marcus Mossfeldt, Pär Stockhammar Forecasting Goods and Services Inflation in Sweden 2016
145 Pär Stockhammar, Pär Österholm Do Inflation Expectations Granger Cause Inflation? 2016
144 Karine Raoufina Forecasting employment growth in Sweden using a Bayesian VAR model 2016
143 Maria Billstam, Kristina Frändén, Johan Samuelsson and Pär Österholm Quasi-real-time data of the Economic tendency survey 2016
142 Björn Lindgren The Rise in Life Expectancy, Health Trends among the Elderly, and the Demand for Health and Social Care 2016
141 Tomas Forsfält, Erik Glans IOR – NIER's Input-Output Model of the Swedish Economy 2015
139 Bengt Assarsson and Pär Österholm Do Swedish Consumer Confidence Indicators Do What They Are Intended to Do? 2015
138 Peter Gustafsson, Pär Stockhammar and Pär Österholm Macroeconomic Effects of a Decline in Housing Prices in Sweden 2015
137 Göran Hjelm, Helena Bornevall, Pia Fromlet, Jonny Nilsson, Pär Stockhammar and Magnus Wiberg Appropriate Macroeconomic Model Support for the Ministry of Finance and the National Institute of Economic Research: A Pilot Study 2015
136 Flodberg, Caroline and Österholm, Pär A Statistical Analysis of Revisions of Swedish National Accounts Data 2015
135 Stockhammar, Pär and Stockhammar, Pär Effects of US Policy Uncertainty on Swedish GDP Growth 2014
134 Österholm, Pär and Stockhammar, Pär The Euro Crisis and Swedish GDP Growth 2014
133 Riekkola, Anna Krook; Berg, Charlotte; Ahlgren, Erik O. and Söderholm, Patrik Challenges in Soft-Linking: The Case of EMEC and TIMES-Sweden 2013
132 Fromlet, Pia Exchange Rates, Wages, and Export Price Dynamics 2013
131 Österholm, Pär Forecasting Business Investment in the Short Term Using Survey Data 2013
130 Österholm, Pär Survey Data and Short-Term Forecasts of Swedish GDP Growth 2013
129 Antipin, Jan-Erik; Boumediene, Farid Jimmy; Österholm, Pär On the Usefulness of Constant Gain Least Squares when Forecasting the Unemployment Rate 2013
128 Beechey, Meredith and Österholm, Pär Central Bank Forecasts of Policy Interest Rates: An Evaluation of the First Years 2013
127 Beechey, Meredith and Österholm, Pär Policy Interest Rate Expectations in Sweden: A Forecast Evaluation 2012
126 Antipin, Jan-Erik, Farid Jimmy Boumediene and Österholm, Pär Forecasting Inflation Using Constant Gain Least Squares 2012
125 Hansson, Sven Ove; Edvardsson Björnberg, Karin and Johansson, Maria Vredin Making Climate Policy Efficient Implementing a Model for Environmental Policy Efficiency 2011
124 Baard, Patrik; Carlsen, Henrik; Edvardsson Björnberg, Karin and Johansson, Maria Vredin Scenarios and Sustainability. A Swedish Case Study of Adaptation Tools for Local Decision-Makers 2011
123 Broberg, Thomas, Tomas Forsfält and Göran Östblom The Excess Cost of Supplementary Constraints in Climate Policy: The Case of Sweden’s Energy Intensity Target 2011
121 Jonsson, Thomas and Pär Österholm The Forecasting Properties of Survey-Based Wage-Growth Expectations 2010
120 Gustavsson, Magnus and Pär Österholm Labor-Force Participation Rates and the 2010
119 Broberg, Thomas, Marklund, Per-Olov; Samakovlis, Eva and Hammar, Henrik Does environmental leadership pay off for Swed-ish industry? - Analyzing the effects of environ-mental investments on efficiency 2010
118 Östblom, Göran, Maria Ljunggren Söderman and Magnus Sjöström Analysing future solid waste generation – Soft linking a model of waste management with a CGE-model for Sweden 2010
117 Mossfeldt, Marcus and Pär Österholm The Persistent Labour-Market Effects of the Financial Crisis 2010
116 Vartiainen, Juhana Interpreting Wage Bargaining Norms 2010
115 Hjelm, Göran and Jönsson, Kristian In Search of a Method for Measuring the Output Gap of the Swedish Economy 2010
114 Jonsson, Thomas and Pär Österholm The Properties of Survey-Based Inflation Expectations in Sweden 2009
113 Österholm, Pär Unemployment and Labour-Force Participation in Sweden 2009
112 Österholm, Pär Improving Unemployment Rate Forecasts Using Survey Data 2009
111 Forsfält, Tomas KIMOD 2.0 Documentation of changes in the model from January 2007 to January 2009 2009
110 Österholm, Pär The Effect on the Swedish Real Economy of the Financial Crisis 2009
109 Sjöström, Magnus and Göran Östblom Future Waste Scenarios for Sweden on the Basis of a CGE-model 2009
108 Johanna Forslund, Eva Samakovlis, Maria Vredin Johansson and Lars Barregård Does Remediation Save Lives? On the Cost of Cleaning Up Arsenic-Contaminated Sites in Sweden 2009
107 Forslund, Johanna, Per Johansson, Eva Samakovlis and Maria Vredin Johansson Can we by time? Evaluation. Evaluation of the government’s directed grant to remediation in Sweden 2009
106 Alek Markowski, Kristian Nilsson, Marcus Widén Strukturell utveckling av arbetskostnad och priser i den svenska ekonomin 2008
105 Samakovlis, Eva How are Green National Accounts Produced in Practice? 2008
104 Forsfält, Tomas, Johnny Nilsson and Juhana Vartianinen Modellansatser i Konjunkturinstitutets medelfristprognoser
103 Östblom, Göran and Henrik Hammar Outcomes of a Swedish Kilometre Tax. An Analysis of Economic Effects and Effects on NOx Emissions 2007
102 Hammar, Henrik and Åsa Löfgren Explaining adoption of end of pipe solutions and clean technologies – Determinants of firms’ investments for reducing emissions to air in four sextors in Sweden 2007
101 Östblom, Göran Nitrogen and Sulphur Outcomes of a Carbon Emissions Target Excluding Traded Allowances - An Input-Output Analysis of the Swedish Case 2007
100 Bergvall, Anders, Tomas Forsfält, Göran Hjelm, Jonny Nilsson and Juhana Vartiainen KIMOD 1.0 Documentation of NIER´s Dynamic Macroeconomic General Equilibrium Model of the Swedish Economy 2007
99 Hjelm, Göran Kan arbetsmarknadens parter minska jämviktsarbetslösheten? Teori och modellsimuleringar 2006
98 Barot, Bharat Empirical Studies in Consumption, House Prices and the Accuracy of European Growth and Inflation Forecasts 2006
97 Hammar, Henrik, Tommy Lundgren and Magnus Sjöström The significance of transport costs in the Swedish forest industry 2006
96 Östblom Göran and Charlotte Berg The EMEC model: Version 2.0 2006
95 Erlandsson Mattias and Alek Markowski The Effective Exchange Rate Index KIX - Theory and Practice 2006
94 Forslund Johanna, Eva Samakovlis and Maria Vredin Johansson Matters Risk? The Allocation of Government Subsidies for Remediation of Contaminated Sites under the Local Investment Programme 2006
93 Östblom, Göran and Samakovlis, Eva Costs of Climate Policy when Pollution Affects Health and Labour Productivity. A General Equilibrium Analysis Applied to Sweden 2004
92 Hjelm, Göran When Are Fiscal Contractions Successful? Lessons for Countries Within and Outside the EMU 2004
91 Hansen, Sten and Tomas Lindström Is Rising Returns to Scale a Figment of Poor Data? 2004
90 Henrik Braconier, Tomas Forsfält A New Method for Constructing a Cyclically Adjusted Budget Balance: the Case of Sweden 2004
89 Lindén, Johan The Labor Market in KIMOD 2004
88 Alsterlind, Jan, Alek Markowski and Kristian Nilsson Modelling the Foreign Sector in a Macroeconometric Model of Sweden 2004
87 Samakovlis, Eva, Anni Huhtala, Tom Bellander and Magnus Svartengren Air Quality and Morbidity: Concentration-response Relationships for Sweden 2004
86 Gren, Ing-Marie Monetary Green Accounting and Ecosystem Services 2003
85 Boman, Mattias, Anni Huhtala, Charlotte Nilsson, Sofia Ahlroth, Göran Bostedt, Leif Mattson and Peichen Gong Applying the Contingent Valuation Method in Resource Accounting: A Bold Proposal
84 Hansson, Jesper, Per Jansson and Mårten Löf Business survey data: do they help in forecasting the macro economy? 2003
83 Lindström, Tomas The Role of High-Tech Capital Formation for Swedish Productivity Growth 2003
82 Huhtala, Anni and Eva Samalkovis Green Accounting, Air Pollution and Health 2003
81 Hjelm, Göran Simultaneous Determination of NAIRU, Output Gaps and Structural Budget Balances: Swedish Evidence 2003
80 Bharat, Barot House Prices and Housing Investment in Sweden and the United Kingdom. Econometric Analysis for the Period 1970-1998 2002
79 Bharat, Barot Growth and Business Cycles for the Swedish Economy 2002
78 Nilsson, Kristian Do Fundamentals Explain the Behavior of the Real Effective Exchange Rate? 2002
77 Huhtala, Anni, Annie Toppinen and Mattias Boman, An Environmental Accountant's Dilemma: Are Stumpage Prices Reliable Indicators of Resource Scarcity? 2001
76 Skånberg, Kristian Constructing a Partially Environmentally Adjusted Net Domestic Product for Sweden 1993 and 1997 2001
75 Nilsson, Charlotte and Anni Huhtala Is CO2 Trading Always Beneficial? A CGE-Model Analysis on Secondary Environmental Benefits 2000
74 Andersson, Michael K. And Mikael P. Gredenhoff Improving Fractional Integration Tests with Bootstrap Distribution 2000
73 Ahlroth, Sofia Correcting Net Domestic Product for Sulphur Dioxide and Nitrogen Oxide Emissions: Implementation of a Theoretical Model in Practice 2000
72 Öller, Lars-Erik and Bharat Barot The Accuracy of European Growth and Inflation Forecasts 2000
71 Arai, Mahmood and Fredrik Heyman Permanent and Temporary Labour: Job and Worker Flows in Sweden 1989-1998 2000
70 Johnsson, Helena and Peter Kaplan An Econometric Study of Private Consumption Expenditure in Sweden 1999
69 Östblom, Göran An Environmental Medium Term Economic Model – EMEC 1999
68 Nilsson, Kristian Alternative Measures of the Swedish Real Exchange Rate 1999
67 Braconier, Henrik and Steinar Holden The Public Budget Balance – Fiscal Indicators and Cyclical Sensitivity in the Nordic Countries 1999
66 Nilsson, Charlotte A Unilateral Versus a Multilateral Carbon Dioxide Tax - A Numerical Analysis With The European Model GEM-E3 1999
65 Huhtala , Anni and Eva Samakovlis Does International Harmonization of Environmental Policy Instruments Make Economic Sense? The Case of Paper Recycling in Europe 1999
64 Öller, Lars-Erik and Bharat Barot Comparing the Accuracy of European GDP Forecasts 1999
63 Johansson, Kerstin Permanent Shocks and Spillovers: A Sectoral Approach Using a Structural VAR 1998
62 Johansson, Kerstin Exports in the Econometric Model KOSMOS 1998
61 Gajda, Jan B. and Aleksander Markowski Model Evaluation Using Stochastic Simulations: The Case of the Econometric Model KOSMOS 1998
60 Kragh, Börje and Aleksander Markowski Kofi – a Macromodel of the Swedish Financial Markets 1998
59 Koskinen, Lasse and Lars-Erik Öller A Hidden Markov Model as a Dynamic Bayesian Classifier, with an Application to Forecasting Business-Cycle Turning Points 1998
58 Lyhagen, Johan The Effect of Precautionary Saving on Consumption in Sweden 1998
57 Johansson, Anders and Karl-Markus Modén Investment Plan Revisions and Share Price Volatility 1997
56 Oke, Timothy and Lars-Erik Öller Testing for Short Memory in a VARMA Process 1997
55 Koskinen, Lasse, Aleksander Markowski, Parameswar Nandakumar and Lars-Erik Öller Three Seminar Papers on Output Gap 1997
54 Östblom, Göran Emissions to the Air and the Allocation of GDP: Medium Term Projections for Sweden. In Conflict with the Goals of SO2, SO2 and NOX Emissions for Year 2000 1996
53 Markowski, Aleksander The Financial Block in the Econometric Model KOSMOS 1996
52 Ruist, Erik Temporal Aggregation of an Econometric Equation 1996
51 Url, Thomas Internationalists, Regionalists, or Eurocentrists 1996
50 Eriksson, Kimmo, Johan Karlander and Lars-Erik Öller Hierarchical Assignments: Stability and Fairness 1996
49 Lundvik, Petter Generational Accounting in a Small Open Economy 1996
48 Barot, Bharat Estimating the Effects of Wealth, Interest Rates and Unemployment on Private Consumption in Sweden 1995
47b Markowski, Aleksander Interest Rate Determination in the Econometric Model KOSMOS 1995
47a Markowski, Aleksander Determination of the Effective Exchange Rate in the Econometric Model KOSMOS 1995
44b Markowski, Aleksander The Input-Output Core: Determination of Inventory Investment and Other Business Output in the Econometric Model KOSMOS 1994
44a Markowski, Aleksander Private Consumption Expenditure in the Econometric Model KOSMOS 1994
42b Markowski, Aleksander Wage Rate Determination in the Econometric Model KOSMOS 1994
42a Markowski, Aleksander Labour Supply, Hours Worked and Unemployment in the Econometric Model KOSMOS 1994
38 Gustafsson, Claes-Håkan On the Consistency of Data on Production, Deliveries, and Inventories in the Swedish Manufacturing Industry 1994
37 Markowski, Aleksander and Lars Ernsäter The Supply Side in the Econometric Model KOSMOS 1994
36 Ohlsson, Henry and Anders Vredin Political Cycles and Cyclical Policies. A New Test Approach Using Fiscal Forecasts 1993
35 Kääntä, Pekka and Christer Tallbom Using Business Survey Data for Forecasting Swedish Quantitative Business Cycle Varable. A Kalman Filter Approach 1993
34 Kanis, Alfred and Bharat Barot On Determinants of Private Consumption in Sweden 1993
33 Markowski, Aleksander and Tony Persson Capital Rental Cost and the Adjustment for the Effects of the Investment Fund System in the Econometric Model Kosmos 1993
32 Markowski, Aleksander and Parameswar Nandakumar A Long-Run Equilibrium Model for Sweden. The Theory Behind the Long-Run Solution to the Econometric Model KOSMOS 1993
31 Lin, Chien-Fu Jeff and Timo Teräsvirta Testing the Constancy of Regression Parameters Against Continous Change 1993
30b Bergström, Reinhold Quantitative Production Series Compared with Qualiative Business Survey Series for Five Sectors of the Swedish Manufacturing Industry 1993
30a Bergström, Reinhold The Full Tricotomous Scale Compared with Net Balances in Qualitative Business Survey Data – Experiences from the Swedish Business Tendency Surveys 1993
27 Seppi, Deane J. How Important are Block Trades in the Price Discovery Process? 1993
26 Spiegel, Matthew and Deane J. Seppi Does Round-the-Clock Trading Result in Pareto Improvements? 1993
25 Boot, Arnoud W.A. and Stuart I. Greenbaum Discretion in the Regulation of U.S. Banking 1993
24 Gennotte, Gerard and Hayne Leland Low Margins, Derivative Securitites and Volatility 1993
23 Jonsson, Bo Forecasting Car Expenditures Using Household Survey Data- A Comparison of Different Predictors 1993
22 Karlsson, Tohmas A General Equilibrium Analysis of the Swedish Tax Reforms 1989-1991 1993
21 Gustafsson, Claes-Håkan and Åke Holmén The Index of Industrial Production – A Formal Description of the Process Behind it 1993
20 Gorton, Gary and Richard Rosen Corporate Control, Portfolio Choice, and the Decline of Banking 1993
19 Jonsson, Bo Prediction with a Linear Regression Model and Errors in a Regressor 1992
18 Forster, Margaret M Volatility, Trading Mechanisms and International Cross-Listing 1992
17 Öller, Lars-Erik Eliciting Turning Point Warnings from Business Surveys 1992
16 Jonsson, Bo Sample Based Proportions as Values on an Independent Variable in a Regression Model 1992
15 Christofferson, Anders, Roland Roberts and Ulla Eriksson The Relationship Between Manufacturing and Various BTS Series in Sweden Illuminated by Frequency and Complex Demodulate Methods 1992
14 Rahiala, Markku and Timo Teräsvirta Business Survey Data in Forecasting the Output of Swedish and Finnish Metal and Engineering Industries: A Kalman Filter Approach 1992
13 Edlund, Per-Olov and Sune Karlsson Forecasting the Swedish Unemployment Rate: VAR vs. Transfer Function Modelling 1992
12 Bergström, Reinhold The Relationship Between Manufacturing Production and Different Business Survey Series in Sweden 1992
11 Gerlach, Stefan Current Quarter Forecasts of Swedish GNP Using Monthly Variables 1992
10 Löfgren, Karl-Gustaf, Bo Ranneby and Sara Sjöstedt Forecasting the Business Cycle Not Using Minimum Autocorrelation Factors 1992
9 Jonsson, Bo and Anders Ågren Forecasting Car Expenditures Using Household Survey Data 1992
8 Öller, Lars-Erik Good Business Cycle Forecasts - A Must for Stabilization Policies 1992
7 Berg, Lennart and Reinhold Bergström A Quarterly Consumption Function for Sweden 1979-1989 1991
6 Ågren, Anders and Bo Jonsson Consumer Attitudes, Buying Intentions and Consumption Expenditures. An Analysis of the Swedish Household Survey Data 1991
5 Berg, Lennart The Financial Sector in the SNEPQ Model 1991
4 Kanis, Alfred and Aleksander Markowski The Supply Side of the Econometric Model of the NIER 1990
3 Söderling, Paul Mamtax. A Dynamic CGE Model for Tax Reform Simulations 1989
2 Östblom, Göran Change in Technical Structure of the Swedish Economy 1989
1 Warne, Anders and Anders Vredin Current Account and Business Cycles: Stylized Facts for Sweden 1989

Konjunkturinstitutet gör prognoser som används som beslutsunderlag för den ekonomiska politiken i Sverige. Vi analyserar också den ekonomiska utvecklingen, i Sverige och internationellt, och bedriver tillämpad forskning inom nationalekonomi.

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